Iran has 'all options on table' if US blacklists Revolutionary Guards: ISNA

Casey Dawson
October 11, 2017

Failure by the United States to keep our word would play directly into the hands of Iranian hardliners who have always hated any cooperation with the west, and would love to be able to brandish a nuclear bomb.

It is widely expected that Trump will not recertify Iran, saying it is no longer in the United States national interest, giving Congress 60 days to decide whether to reimpose sanctions. However, even if the president pursues this track, which we oppose, there is a way for the administration, Congress, and our European allies to jointly address the agreement's shortcomings while sustaining its gains.

Q: How do we know the deal is working?

In a response to Fox News about the findings, German officials said they were nonetheless satisfied that Iran is complying with the JCPOA. The Trump administration has not produced any evidence that Iran is not holding up its part of the bargain.

The president set the stage for a shakeup of the Iran nuclear deal at a gathering of military leaders at the White House last week.

Also Read: Will Trump Cancel the Iran Nuclear Deal? But the other signatories, including the major European allies, Britain, France, and Germany have no such intention. All are happy with the deal and intend to uphold it.

The nuclear deal represents a "compromise on which hard-liners like France and the United Kingdom eventually came together with the soft-liners like Germany, Austria and Italy", says Sebastien Duhaut, a consultant for development policies in the Middle East and North African region and a former Quai d'Orsay (French foreign ministry) staffer. Then, leveraging the fear among US allies that the United States will utterly abandon the agreement and hammer more foreign companies with sanctions, the United States should force Europe to agree to jointly present Iran with an ultimatum and new conditions Iran would have to meet to keep more sanctions from being reimposed.

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The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action agreement (JCPOA) does not limit Iran's development of missiles or its creation of a naval-air-missile threat to shipping and petroleum exports out of the Gulf.

Mr Trump said in September that recent IRGC missile tests illustrated the weakness of the nuclear deal.

There's no evidence Iran isn't honouring its side of the deal.

It added that Iran has not pursued the construction of a reactor which could give it weapons-grade plutonium and has not enriched uranium above low purity levels.

The hawkish turn in US policy towards Iran has alarmed many of its European allies.

Secretary of State Rex Tillerson has also indicated he favors staying within the deal. The UN Security Council approved the deal by a 15-0 vote. USA firms are anxious to jump into this massive market of 80 million people.

But Trump will not find it as easy to get rid of the Iran Deal as Obamacare. It is unlikely that Iran would stand by as an idle spectator watching the USA manoeuvrings. While dictator Bashar al-Assad is aligned with the Iranian regime, the Syrian civil war has significantly limited Assad's ability to sponsor worldwide terrorism, while Iran has expansive and influential operations throughout the world. And when the ultimate confrontation takes place, it will be with a nuclear-armed rogue Iran. It could also lead to a backlash internally against the more secular, liberal forces in Iran. Finally, other analysts said that Trump was referring to Iran.

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